
U.S. crude plunged nearly 7 percent to settle at an 18-month low of $42.53 as equities slid on a potential U.S. government shutdown and reports that the President wanted to fire the Federal Reserve chair. The Dow fell more than 600 points and closed in bear market territory, and investors moved into gold and government debt.
Broad risk-off selling spilled into crude as investors fled to safe havens, reducing energy prices. Lower crude lowers biofuel economics and can weigh on demand for vegetable oils used in fuel.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.