
Oil fell more than 5% on Oct 28 as a larger-than-expected US crude stock build and renewed European restrictions raised oversupply fears. WTI was down 5.4% to $37.44 and Brent lost 4.6% to $39.32.
A surprise US inventory build and weaker fuel demand from European restrictions point to lower crude prices, reducing energy and transport cost pressure on feed supply chains.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.