
U.S. crude fell more than 3% on Dec 12 as traders worried the Federal Reserve had not yet brought inflation under control. January WTI traded at $68.91 and February Brent at $73.70 after U.S. inflation rose 0.1% in November.
Investors also doubted OPEC+ supply cuts would offset expected non-OPEC output growth.
Lower crude weighs on biofuel and fuel-linked feed costs, and rate expectations shift the dollar and commodity demand. The story signals a bearish energy backdrop for feed inputs.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.