
WTI settled down 35 cents at $65.45 a barrel on February 1, 2018, as the dollar strengthened after a strong U.S. jobs report. Equities also slumped on concerns about rising interest rates.
A firmer dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for other currency holders, which weighs on grain and oilseed demand. Lower crude also reduces biofuel feedstock support.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.