
The Canadian dollar weakened to a six-day low against the U.S. dollar as oil prices fell, with U.S. crude down 1.5% to $86.57 a barrel after weaker-than-expected Chinese factory data. Investors were also bracing for a Federal Reserve decision expected to bring another 75-basis-point hike.
Lower oil prices weaken the loonie, a commodity-linked currency, which can make Canadian-origin commodity exports cheaper in USD terms. Fed tightening expectations support a stronger dollar, which generally pressures dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.