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The Canadian dollar fell on Wednesday after stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales raised the prospect of more Federal Reserve rate hikes. Canadian home sales fell 3% in January and housing starts dropped 13%, while U.S. crude settled down 0.6% at $78.59 a barrel.
A stronger U.S. dollar tends to pressure U.S. crude and dollar-priced commodities, while a weaker loonie can make Canadian grain and oilseed exports more competitive. The main driver is U.S. interest rate expectations.
theglobeandmail.comFeb 15, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
