
Markets priced a near-certain Fed rate hike for March 15 after February payrolls rose 235,000 and unemployment fell to 4.7 per cent. Investors expect Canadian bonds and the loonie to suffer as US rates rise.
A stronger US dollar from higher US rates tends to pressure dollar-priced commodities, including grains and meals, and weakens the Canadian dollar.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.