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The Brazilian real strengthened slightly to about 5.03 per USD in late May as the dollar softened and oil prices retreated on signs of a preliminary US-Iran understanding. Brazil's first-quarter GDP grew 1.1% quarter on quarter, stronger than expected and the fastest in a year.
A firmer real and easing oil prices reduce Brazilian feed and ethanol cost pressures in dollar terms, while higher-for-longer rate expectations support the currency and may keep domestic borrowing costs high for livestock and feed operators.
tradingeconomics.comIsabela CoutoMay 29, 2026After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
