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The Brazilian real strengthened at the start of the week of June 29 as emerging-market risk appetite improved. Investors pointed to signs that daily COVID-19 infections in the Americas may be peaking.
A stronger real lowers the local cost of Brazilian grain and meal exports, which can weigh on world dollar prices for soy complex products.
After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.