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The Brazilian real rose past 5.3 per US dollar, its strongest level since June 2024, after the central bank held the Selic at 15% and signaled a prolonged hold. The Federal Reserve had cut rates by 25 basis points and signaled further easing.
A stronger real raises the local cost of Brazilian soybean and corn exports, which can slow farmer selling and modestly support dollar-denominated grain prices.
tradingeconomics.comFelipe AlarconSep 18, 2025After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
