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The Brazilian real strengthened 21.5 percent in 2016, its biggest annual gain in seven years and the first gain after a five-year losing streak. The currency closed up 1 percent on Dec 29 at 3.2492 reais per dollar, with gains attributed to hopes that President Michel Temer would curb public spending after Dilma Rousseff's ouster.
A stronger real makes Brazilian soymeal, corn and DDGS cheaper in dollar terms for importers, which can support Brazilian export competitiveness less and weigh on Brazilian farm-gate returns. Continued real strength would be mildly bearish for Brazilian export prices in dollar terms.
reuters.comDec 29, 2016After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
