
The Brazilian real strengthened on June 16, 2025, to R$5.4855 per dollar, its lowest since October 2024, as markets judged the Israel-Iran conflict unlikely to widen. Ibovespa gained 1.49%, and oil prices fell with risk appetite improving.
A stronger real lowers the cost of imported feed ingredients for Brazil and reflects reduced risk premium in energy, which can ease input costs for feed producers.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.