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The broad U.S. dollar strengthened and weighed on commodities, while Brent fell more than 5% to US$88 a barrel amid Covid lockdowns in China. Chinese crude imports rebounded in August but remained down year on year, and the EIA lowered its U.S. oil production forecast.
A stronger dollar and weaker energy prices reduce commodity prices broadly and can lower biofuel and input costs for feed producers.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonSep 8, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
