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The Fed kept rates unchanged and reduced hopes for a March cut, weighing on commodities on January 31. Brent fell to about $80.2/bbl, down roughly 5% from its earlier peak, and an EIA report showed a crude inventory build.
Lower crude prices reduce diesel and biofuel input costs and weaken the energy complex that supports vegetable oil and biofuel demand.
think.ing.comEwa Manthey, Warren PattersonFeb 1, 2024After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
