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WTI traded near $57.65 on August 1, down 93 cents, after Fed Chairman Powell signaled that further rate cuts were not assured following the 25-basis-point cut. Equities fell sharply.
An 8.5 million barrel EIA crude stock draw helped limit losses, and a Libyan Sharara field shutdown of about 300,000 bbl/day was seen as likely temporary.
Reduced expectations for monetary easing weaken commodity demand sentiment and the dollar outlook, pressuring crude and fuel prices that feed into feed freight and processing costs.
mansfield.energyAlan ApthorpAug 1, 2019After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Powell's signal that further cuts were not assured on Aug 1 hit equities and crude, adding to the downward pressure on energy prices, partly offset by an inventory draw.
