
Chicago corn, soybean and wheat futures slid close to 2% on Monday as global stocks and crude fell on coronavirus fears. Wheat dropped 1.8% to $5.06-3/4 a bushel, its lowest in almost four months.
Oil fell over 20% after Saudi Arabia cut its selling price following Russia's refusal to agree to OPEC production cuts.
Oil-driven losses and coronavirus-led risk aversion reduce biofuel and general commodity demand expectations, pressuring grain futures lower. Feed grain prices face near-term downside.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corroborates the roughly 2% slide in Chicago grains as equities and crude fell, with oil down over 20% after the Saudi price cut.