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Platts reports European ethanol producers plan significant Q2 production cuts because crush margins are among the lowest on record. Pandemic-driven gasoline demand losses are combined with rising feedstock prices, with margins reported at negative EUR369 per cubic meter for wheat and negative EUR233 for corn.
Cutting European ethanol output lowers grain demand for wheat and corn feedstock. Weak fuel demand and rising feedstock costs point to bearish pressure on EU grain-based ethanol use.
biofuelsdigest.comMeghan SappJan 25, 2021After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
