
Successful Farming reports that ethanol producers face a combined shock from COVID-19 and collapsing energy prices, with roughly 40% of the U.S. corn crop going to ethanol. Industry leaders describe the situation as a perfect storm for ethanol.
Weak ethanol margins threaten corn demand from the largest domestic use, which pressures corn and co-product prices for feed buyers.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.