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Grain markets were volatile through the week as the July WASDE report and inflation concerns overshadowed weather forecasts. Wheat fell every session, while corn and soybean rally hopes faded amid speculation that the Federal Reserve may raise rates by a full point.
Investor exits driven by rate-hike fears and recession risk are pressuring commodity prices even when crop weather is supportive, leaving feed grain values weaker.
agweek.comNoah FishJul 15, 2022After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
