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Petroleum futures fell 17-23% in early trading, with May RBOB, ULSD and WTI hitting their lowest levels since 2021. Fed rate-cut odds for May rose from 10% to 51%, while equities and the dollar sold off.
Sharp energy sell-offs and rising rate-cut expectations point to weaker energy and macro conditions for feed costs. Lower wholesale fuel prices also reduce freight and processing expenses.
tacenergy.comApr 9, 2025After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
