Dollar Faces Bigger Hit Than Euro If Fed, ECB Resume Rate Cuts -- Market Talk

After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• May 29, 2026Euro-Dollar: Why Markets Think The ECB Will Hike Before The Fed-0.2%
• Aug 14, 2024Euro Nears Year’s High on Bet Fed Will Cut Rates Faster Than ECB+1.4%
• Dec 14, 2023Dollar tumbles on dovish Fed, euro gains as ECB talks down rate cuts – ThePrint – ReutersFeed+1.5%
• May 23, 2022Dollar Vs. Euro: Greenback Hits One-Month Low As ECB Eyes Rate Hikes - Markets Insider+1.4%
• Jan 22, 2021FX traders brush off ECB talk, bet euro-dollar has further to run - Markets - Business Recorder-0.2%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• May 29, 2026Euro-Dollar: Why Markets Think The ECB Will Hike Before The Fed+0.3%
• Mar 2, 2020Dollar takes a back seat as markets bet on Fed rate cuts - The HinduBusinessLine-0.8%
• Aug 14, 2024Euro Nears Year’s High on Bet Fed Will Cut Rates Faster Than ECB-1.0%
• Dec 14, 2023Dollar tumbles on dovish Fed, euro gains as ECB talks down rate cuts – ThePrint – ReutersFeed-1.3%
• Dec 27, 2023Dollar hits 5-mth low against euro as Fed seen closer to rate cuts+0.7%