
The dollar weakened on 2 March 2020 as markets priced in Federal Reserve rate cuts after Chairman Powell said the central bank would act as appropriate. Futures implied a 50 basis point cut, and the yuan rose to a near three-week high of 6.9703 per dollar.
Expected Fed easing weakens the dollar, which tends to support dollar-denominated commodity prices, while a firmer yuan can support Chinese feed import demand.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar weakened on 2 March after Powell said the Fed would act as appropriate, with markets pricing a 50bp cut, a currency/rate-expectations mechanism.