
The dollar fell to a two-month low after weaker-than-expected US economic data and an inflation reading below estimates. The yuan and Australian dollar both hit three-month highs against the greenback.
A weaker dollar with markets pricing Fed cuts tends to support dollar-priced commodities and lowers the cost of imports for emerging-market buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Broad dollar weakness to a two-month low on soft US data and Fed cut expectations, with the yuan hitting three-month highs, directly explains the CNY per USD drop on 2023-11-20.