
The dollar fell against the euro on rate-hike expectations after ECB President Lagarde discussed a possible move amid record eurozone inflation. The greenback hit a one-month low versus the euro.
A softer dollar supports dollar-priced commodities by making them cheaper for euro-zone buyers, though the move is a routine currency reaction.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.