
The dollar index fell to a four-month low of about 97.1 after the Federal Reserve held rates at 1.50% to 1.75% and Chair Powell said a significant, persistent inflation rise would be needed to hike. The Fed expects moderate growth and low unemployment through 2020.
A weaker dollar tends to lift dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices by making exports cheaper for foreign buyers, while a steady Fed reduces the chance of tightening that would strengthen the dollar.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.