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Gold rose to a one-month peak as the dollar and Treasury yields fell on hopes the Fed would pause rate hikes. Interest rate futures still priced in one more hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting, but expectations of further increases had eased.
Expectations of a rate pause weaken the dollar and lower yields, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.