
The dollar fell to its lowest level in more than three months on the first trading day of 2018, with the dollar index touching 91.751. Traders doubted the Fed would deliver three rate hikes this year given muted US inflation.
A weaker dollar tends to lift dollar-priced grain, oilseed and meal prices by making US exports cheaper abroad. Feed buyers should expect firmer dollar-based ingredient prices if the trend persists.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.