
Oil fell to an 18-year low as coronavirus lockdowns spread through major economies. Futures in London dropped about 9% and New York crude dipped below $20 before settling just above that level.
Trump's call with Putin on energy market stability did little to halt the decline.
A cratering demand outlook combined with a growing supply surplus pushes crude prices lower. Cheaper energy reduces costs across feed supply chains, but weaker economic activity could reduce demand for animal protein.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent futures fell about 9% to an 18-year low as lockdowns spread and storage filled, with Trump-Putin call failing to support prices.