
Brent crude in London fell below $40 a barrel for the first time since late June, and New York futures also fell sharply. Both benchmarks reached their lowest levels in nearly three months.
Markets cited stalling Asian demand, the end of the US summer driving season, and higher OPEC and allied supply.
Weaker demand and rising supply point to continued downward pressure on crude prices. Lower energy costs can ease input expenses for feed producers but also weaken biofuel margins.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent fell below $40 on stalling Asian demand, the end of the US driving season and higher OPEC+ supply, describing the sentiment behind the drop.
Brent fell below $40 on stalling Asian demand and higher OPEC supply, which set up the move. The date is ambiguous (Sept 7 was a US holiday), so it may describe the Sept 8 drop.