
Oil futures closed down 4.8% in New York after OPEC agreed to extend production curbs, the worst reaction to an OPEC meeting since 2014. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney warned of rising protectionism and a widespread global slowdown, adding to worries after weak US, Chinese and European manufacturing data.
Weaker crude and energy-wide demand worries tend to lower diesel and biofuel margins, which can soften soybean oil, corn ethanol and DDGS values for feed buyers.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.