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Brent crude fell more than 12.5% as the coronavirus spread prompted widening restrictions that threatened the largest annual drop in oil demand on record. Saudi Aramco's CFO said the company was very comfortable with oil at $30 a barrel, and gasoline futures hit their weakest level since at least 2005.
Collapsing fuel demand cuts diesel and energy costs for feed mills and lowers the value of biofuel-linked feedstocks. Lower crude prices are bearish for energy-linked agricultural commodities.
bloomberg.comAlex LongleyMar 15, 2020After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Bloomberg report of Brent falling over 12.5% to the lowest since 2016 on collapsing demand from virus restrictions, matching the size and timing of the Mar 16 drop.
Brent fell more than 12.5% on widening virus restrictions threatening record demand decline, with Aramco comfortable with $30 oil signalling no supply restraint.
Brent fell more than 12.5% as the demand collapse and a price-war supply glut hit oil, with the largest annual demand drop on record in prospect.
Describes the demand-collapse rout in oil around March 15-16, with the largest annual demand drop on record feeding the selloff that continued on March 17.
