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ING's daily commodities roundup says oil prices slipped after above-consensus US CPI data raised pressure on the Fed to tighten faster. It also cites OPEC's monthly report showing January output rising and its unchanged 2022 demand growth forecast.
Expectations of faster Fed tightening strengthen the dollar and weigh on crude, which in turn affects biofuel and fertilizer costs. Oil's softness is a modest negative for energy-linked commodities.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonFeb 11, 2022After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
