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Crude oil fell about 1.9% on Sept. 20, 2021, as risk-off trading linked to Evergrande contagion fears hit markets.
Roughly 331 Mbbl/d of US Gulf of Mexico output remained shut in after Hurricane Ida. European gas prices rose as Gazprom booked little Ukrainian and Yamal pipeline capacity, and EU gas storage was about 72% full versus a 5-year average near 88%.
Lower crude prices reduce energy costs and lower the input cost support for biofuel-linked feed products. Tight European gas supply raises energy costs and could encourage gas-to-oil switching.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonSep 21, 2021After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
