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S&P Global expects European ethanol producers to face negative margins through the first half of 2023 because of high energy costs, seasonally weak demand and grain procurement challenges tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. It also notes that a recession could cut demand and that gas prices may stay volatile in a cold winter.
High natural gas costs and a weak ethanol outlook could reduce European ethanol output and grain use, while elevated energy prices add cost pressure across the feed chain.
spglobal.comJan 5, 2023After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
