
Energy markets tightened as Asian LNG and European gas prices rose sharply. Hurricane Ida knocked out more than 30 million barrels of US Gulf of Mexico oil supply.
ICE Brent was edging toward $80 per barrel and US rig counts rose to 421.
Higher energy prices raise diesel and fertilizer costs for farmers and feed producers, and they boost biofuel economics that pull vegetable oils and corn into fuel use.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.