
Brent settled about 5.5% higher, its biggest daily gain since March, as risk-on sentiment and tapering doubts weakened the dollar. Zero COVID-19 cases in China and a Pemex platform fire that shut 125 wells also supported prices.
The U.S. Department of Energy also announced a sale of up to 20 million barrels from its strategic reserve.
A weaker dollar lifts dollar-priced commodities, and the Mexican outage tightens supply, especially for heavy crude, so prices move higher. The DOE reserve sale partly offsets the gain.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports Brent settled about 5.5% higher, its biggest daily gain since March, on risk-on sentiment, a weaker dollar and tapering doubts, which matches the size of the move.