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US crude inventories fell 3.1 million barrels in the latest EIA week, more than expected, and refinery utilisation rose to 93.9%, the highest since January. OPEC+ will meet in Vienna on 1-2 July, and an extension of the production deal is widely expected.
Gold rose after the dovish Fed signalled a possible rate cut.
Lower Fed rates weaken the dollar and lift commodity prices, while a likely OPEC+ extension supports crude; higher crude raises biofuel and energy costs for feed producers.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonJun 20, 2019After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
