
Goldman Sachs said the recent drop in commodity prices, triggered by the Fed bringing forward interest rate hike projections into 2023, is a buying opportunity. The bank expects physical scarcity from strong demand and inelastic supply could push Brent to average $80 in the third quarter.
A stronger dollar on hawkish Fed signals pressured commodities broadly, but Goldman's bullish energy view suggests firm crude prices that raise diesel and freight costs for feed logistics.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.