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The ECB's Mario Draghi hinted at a possible rate cut to support a slowing eurozone economy, and markets priced in a cut as soon as July. Copper and oil rose on expectations of looser policy, and Trump said talks with China were reopening.
The Fed was expected to signal a dovish stance later the same day.
Looser monetary policy in the euro area and US tends to weaken the dollar and support industrial commodities and crude, which lowers the relative cost of imported feed inputs.
ii.co.ukJun 19, 2019After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
