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The dollar index fell nearly 1.7% and posted its biggest two-day decline since March 2009 after October consumer inflation came in at 7.7% year-on-year, below forecasts. Risk assets including commodities rallied as Chinese authorities eased some COVID restrictions.
A sharp dollar drop and risk-on rally typically lift dollar-priced grains, oilseeds and meal, with the cooler inflation reading reducing the odds of aggressive Fed hikes.
cnbc.comReutersNov 11, 2022After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
