Dollar retreats, headed for biggest weekly loss since mid-January; bitcoin down

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Mar 27, 2020Dollar posts biggest weekly fall since 2009+0.9%
• Nov 27, 2025Dollar set for biggest weekly fall in four months, Fed in focus | Reuters-0.5%
• Nov 28, 2023US dollar skids to 3-1/2-month low, headed for biggest monthly drop in a year+0.2%
• Jan 18, 2017Loonie in Hottest Streak Since 1970 as U.S. Dollar Retreats - Bloomberg-0.3%
• Mar 30, 2023Sterling set for biggest monthly gain vs dollar since November-0.4%

After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.

• Nov 11, 2022Dollar set for biggest two-day fall since 2009 as rate outlook shifts+3.0%
• Jan 26, 2018Dollar falls, set for biggest monthly drop in nearly 2 years+0.3%
• Mar 31, 2017Mexican peso logs biggest quarterly gain since 1977+0.4%
• Nov 17, 2023Dollar posts steep weekly fall, trades below 150 yen-1.2%
• Aug 2, 2024Dollar hits four-month low as weak US jobs data boosts rate cut bets-0.6%

After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Nov 11, 2022Dollar set for biggest two-day fall since 2009 as rate outlook shifts-0.9%
• Jan 26, 2018Dollar falls, set for biggest monthly drop in nearly 2 years-0.7%
• Nov 17, 2023Dollar posts steep weekly fall, trades below 150 yen-2.2%
• Aug 2, 2024Dollar hits four-month low as weak US jobs data boosts rate cut bets-1.2%
• Mar 21, 2023Dollar, Sterling Fall Ahead Of Fed, BoE Meetings Amid Banking Stress-2.9%