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The Federal Reserve raised its overnight rate by a quarter point to 5.00%-5.25% and dropped the 'anticipates further increases' language. Chair Powell said inflation remains the main concern and pushed back the timing of any rate cut this year.
Gold reached a record high while the dollar and oil fell.
Higher US rates and a firmer dollar weigh on dollar-denominated commodities and energy, while a weaker oil reaction lowers input costs for feed and fertilizer. Feed buyers should watch dollar strength as a driver of export competitiveness.
ig.comJeremy NaylorMay 4, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
