AUD/USD neared 2024 highs after a third weekly gain, following Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole comments that signalled rate cuts. Markets priced a 75% chance of a 25bp Fed cut in September, while RBA minutes showed discussion of possible hikes.
A dovish Fed weakens the USD and tends to lift dollar-priced commodities, supporting grain and oilseed prices for overseas buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.