
The yen gained against the dollar after Shigeru Ishiba, seen as an interest rate hawk, was set to become Japan's next prime minister. The dollar fell after US PCE inflation rose 0.1% in August, in line with expectations, with annual inflation easing to 2.2%.
Softer US inflation and a stronger yen weaken the dollar, which modestly supports dollar-denominated commodity prices; the effect on feed markets is indirect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.