
Spot gold rose about 1.1% to $4,109.94 an ounce on July 30 as the dollar fell 0.9% and traders scaled back bets on interest rate hikes. The Commerce Department reported that the June PCE price index fell 0.1%, in line with expectations.
Analysts warned that renewed Middle East hostilities could push oil and inflation higher again.
A softer dollar and reduced rate-hike expectations support dollar-denominated commodities. Rising oil prices may revive inflation concerns and reverse the move.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.