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The US dollar underperformed in the second quarter as inflation concerns peaked and the yen weakened amid a Fed-BoJ policy divergence. Recent weak US data pushed Treasury yields lower, and the Fed signalled it could slow the pace of rate hikes.
The article argues that markets are shifting toward growth concerns and yen safe-haven demand.
A weaker dollar and softer US yields can support dollar-priced grains and oilseeds for foreign buyers. The link to feed prices is indirect and sentiment-based.
ig.comDaniela Sabin HathornJul 29, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
