
The dollar pared early losses after the Fed raised short-term rates, as widely expected. Earlier the dollar index had hit its lowest level since November after weaker-than-expected CPI and retail sales data.
Fed funds futures showed the chance of a September hike falling sharply.
Softer US inflation and retail data reduced expectations for further rate hikes, which weighed on the dollar and cut the odds of additional tightening.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.