
The Federal Reserve kept short-term rates at 0%-0.25% and indicated they will stay near zero through 2023. The Fed also adopted language allowing inflation to run somewhat above its 2% target before hiking, and revised its GDP and unemployment projections.
A long-dated zero-rate commitment and tolerance of above-target inflation tends to weaken the dollar and support hard assets and commodity prices over time. The effect on feed input prices is indirect but supportive.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.