
Brent fell $1.52, or 3.6%, to $40.78 and WTI fell 3.8% to $38.71 on September 30. Rising COVID-19 cases and new lockdowns in Madrid and Moscow weighed on demand.
Higher OPEC output in the prior month added to the pressure.
Lower crude prices reduce the incentive for biofuel blending and weigh on vegetable oil and corn-based ethanol margins.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.