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Commodity markets sold off last week as hawkish central bank expectations and a strong US dollar weighed on prices. Gold fell 1.8% and silver 5.7%, while the US economy unexpectedly contracted 1.4% in Q1.
Brent rose 0.6% and US natural gas rose 10.9% after Gazprom halted deliveries to Bulgaria and Poland and Germany considered an embargo on Russian oil.
A stronger dollar makes US commodity exports dearer abroad, which can pressure grain and oilseed demand. Higher energy prices raise the cost of fertilizer, freight and feed processing, and that supports input costs.
f.aa.com.trBurhan SansarliogluMay 2, 2022
aa.com.trBurhan SansarliogluMay 2, 2022After 155 past bullish macro events, NATGAS moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
